krypton_bit

Recently talked about the interest in retesting this zone during one of the streams. There is a first reaction, they even drew a return to the channel, but the confirmation of the breakout is still not there. Any long position for the long term now is counter-trend trading (make sure to take profits or move your stop to break even).☝️
Unfortunately, I was asleep and haven't locked in part of my hedge short yet...

#bitcoin $BTC

Live broadcast: real-time cryptocurrency market analysis
February 28, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.

Онлайн стрим тут

🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум

Live broadcast: cryptocurrency market analysis in real time
February 26, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks.
(Air time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.

Онлайн стрим тут

🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум

Live broadcast: real-time cryptocurrency market analysis
February 24, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks.
(Air time at 8:00 PM Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.

Онлайн стрим тут

🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.

#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум

🔥 INFLATION IS TURNING UP AGAIN? PCE ABOVE FORECAST, GDP HAS SLOWED SHARPLY

Core PCE (y/y): 3.0%
Forecast: 2.9% | Previous: 2.8%

Core PCE (m/m): 0.4%
Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%

Total PCE (y/y): 2.9%
Forecast: 2.8% | Previous: 2.8%

Total PCE (m/m): 0.4%
Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%

👉 Inflation is accelerating for the second month in a row.
For the Fed, PCE is the main benchmark. A rise above the forecast increases the risk of a more hawkish rhetoric

📌 Economy - sharp cooling

GDP (Q4, q/q): 1.4%
Forecast: 2.8% | Previous: 4.4%

The economy has slowed down nearly 3 times.

GDP Deflator: 3.7%
Forecast: 2.8% | Previous: 3.7%

👉 We have an unpleasant combination:
slowing growth + persistent inflationary pressure.

These are already elements of a stagflation scenario.

📌 PMI - business activity is holding, but weakening

Manufacturing PMI: 51.2 (forecast 52.4)
Composite PMI: 52.3 (previous 53.0)
Services PMI: 52.3 (forecast 53.0)

Values above 50 indicate the economy is still growing, but the pace is slowing.

1️⃣ GDP decline - an argument for future policy easing.
2️⃣ Rising PCE - an argument against rate cuts.

If the Fed strengthens its hawkish rhetoric - pressure on risk assets will remain.
If the economic slowdown deepens - the market will start to price in a policy reversal.

#FOMC‬⁩ $BTC

🔥🇺🇸#tariffs #court #usa
THE COURT RULED TRUMP'S TARIFFS ILLEGAL

U.S. SUPREME COURT RULES AGAINST TRUMP'S GLOBAL TARIFFS ENACTED UNDER A FEDERAL LAW MEANT FOR NATIONAL EMERGENCIES
———————-
previously Trump stated in an interview with Fox News that the U.S. would find "some other way to do the same thing" if the Supreme Court rules his tariffs against other countries illegal

#trump #crypto $BTC $ETH

Hahaha, every little hamster gets such a devil 😘😆

#ETH
Arthur Hayes sold 1000 ETH ($1.99m) through Bybit at an average price of ~$1999.

Let's remember, last August he bought #Ethereum for ~$4200.

Buy like the big players and funds 🤣🤣🤣

$ETH

🚨 The market has entered a phase of "temporary pain": 4% of altcoins are alive, profit below 50%

We have crossed an important boundary of the cycle — and this is no ordinary correction

📊 Two key levels of BTC

— True market average: $79.2K (lost two weeks ago)
— Realized price of the network: $55K (aggregate cost of all coins)

In 2018 and 2022, #BTC months were stuck between these zones.
This was a phase of exhaustion — without sharp crashes, but with a slow washout of faith.

📉 The supply in profit has fallen to 47.3%

— A decline of -27.7 percentage points over 30 days
— Less than 50% of coins are in profit

Such phases meant a regime shift:
from euphoria to fear.

In previous cycles, recovery after a drop below 50% took 3–9 months,
but subsequent returns were asymmetric.

Market width — 4.17%

Only 4% of altcoins are above the 200-day average.

Similar values were previously observed before major upward impulses.
These are capitulation levels, not overheating.

The supply of LTH (long-term holders) is starting to grow for the first time in a long time.

✔️ We are between fundamental levels
✔️ Most of the market is in loss — pressure has already been realized
✔️ Alts are in a deep cleaning phase

$BTC $BNB

🚨 Capitulation of short-term holders: the market is clearing out the "stuck bulls"

Pressure comes from those who bought at the highs.

— The SOPR ratio for short-term holders is at a minimum since the FTX crash. This indicates mass loss realization.
— 1.4 million #BTC has been moved in 30 days, of which 90% was sold by investors who bought above $85,000.
— The 7-day moving average of BTC basis has returned to the neutral zone — the premium between spot and futures has sharply decreased.
— In each cycle, the depth of the decline decreases: -87% → -84% → -77% → -45%. Volatility is structurally decreasing.

SOPR below 1 = the market sells at a loss.
It is not the bears creating pressure. The rally is sold by those who are "stuck" above and want to exit at breakeven.

Derivatives no longer build in aggressive growth — the market is reducing leverage and becoming cautious.

👉 Speculative demand has weakened
👉 Pressure comes from short-term players
👉 Real spot demand is needed for continued growth

Historically, reversals begin when capitulation reaches a peak and there is no one left to sell.

— Without a recovery of SOPR, any rally may face resistance
— With weak spot, growth will be quickly extinguished
#metrics $BTC